Synopsis
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a renowned master of game theory and political forecasting who claims to be able to predict certain social trends with about 90% accuracy. Mesquita outlines the delicate art of "predictioneering," which he has used to foretell the Tiananmen Square massacre and the Persian Gulf War, revealing which aspects of human behavior are most predictable and how we can use this information to improve the world. He specifically addresses how the future will be irrevocably altered by our current reactions to various world problems, from global warming to the burgeoning influence of terrorists in Pakistan to the stubborn endurance of Kim Jong Il in North Korea. Mesquita's most intriguing idea is that predicting the future is the first and often the strongest step towards enacting that future, and that the more people believe in a prediction, the more likely it is to come true.
| Details | | Publication Date: | 2009-09-29 |
| Size | | Length: | 248 pages | | Height: | 9.3 in | | Width: | 6.3 in | | Thickness: | 1.0 in | | Weight: | 18.4 oz |
Publisher's Note
An NYU political scientist explains how he is able to predict world events through logical analyses of game theory, math, and behavioral science, outlining principles through which readers can more comprehensively view and interact with the world.
Industry Reviews
"[Mesquita's] cogently argued and fascinating brief will appeal to anyone interested in complex national-security issues."
(05/25/2009)
"Worth the price of admission, regardless of your view of the politics, is the author's brief primer on how to buy a car, which could just finish off the collapse of Detroit. Fruitful reading that will make it difficult to look at the world through quite the same eyes as in one's virginal, pre-game theory days."
(06/15/2009)
"[F]ascinating....Every chapter in Bueno de Mesquita's book contains something insightful about human behavior....THE PREDICTIONEER'S GAME is genuinely absorbing, as long as one can handle the math. Bueno de Mesquita gets a lot right, and he shows guts by ending the book with predictions..."
(11/08/2009)
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